Sports

Back Nick Taylor, Corey Conners

We’re lower than 24 hours away from the beginning of the 2022 RBC Canadian Open, giving us a number of closing alternatives to current performs.

Tuesday we centered on our three favourite by-product bets for the event. Now, we’re turning our consideration to the matchup markets. This week I’ve recognized three head-to-head markets — two of which contain Canadians — that give bettors an incredible probability of cashing a ticket.

So, with out additional ado, listed below are my greatest matchup bets for the RBC Canadian Open at St. George’s Golf & Country Club. All odds come courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing.


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Best Bet #1: Nick Taylor (-110) over David Lipsky

Not solely is Taylor taking part in in his dwelling nation this week, however my mannequin provides him an incredible probability at having success.

Over his final 24 rounds on programs below 7,200 yards, Taylor charges out eighth general within the area. That’s largely due partly to his efficiency at an important statistical measures — he’s sixth within the area in SG: strategy, tenth in alternatives gained and second in SG: Par 4’s – 450 to 500 yards.

He’s additionally a gentle driver of the golf ball (thirty eighth in good drives gained, thirty seventh in fairways gained) and has performed decently on Par 5’s in that span (thirty third within the area in SG: Par 5’s). Plus, within the final Canadian Open, Taylor completed T-Twenty seventh. He arrives in Canada in first rate type together with his irons — he’s gained strokes on strategy in 5 of his final six occasions.

On the flip-side, Lipsky enters this event common at-best. He’s sixtieth general in my 24-round mannequin and charges out larger than thirty fifth in solely two statistical measures. Plus, he’s 104th in three-putt avoidance and 91st in SG: Par 5’s. Further, though he’s gaining an honest quantity of alternatives (forty third within the area), he’s not essentially changing these (seventy fifth in birdies or higher gained).

For these causes, count on Taylor to get the head-to-head victory over Lipsky.

Corey Conners plays his shot from the second tee during the final round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 17, 2022 in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina.
Corey Conners
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Best Bet #2: Corey Conners (-120) over Harold Varner III

Conners’ by-product costs are (understandably) low, however it is a good option to again the Canadian.

Conners is coming off a powerful end on the Memorial (T-Thirteenth), Conners charges out very nicely in my statistical mannequin. He’s first within the area over his final 24 rounds on programs below 7,200 yards and, in his final 4 made cuts on such programs, has by no means completed worse than twenty second. As for the modeling, although, Conners charges out tenth or higher in all the following classes: good drives gained (2nd), SG: strategy (fifth), alternatives gained (fifth) and three-putt avoidance (tenth).

He’s additionally situational participant on particular holes. Conners charges out fifteenth within the area on SG: Par 4’s – 450 to 500 yards and is twenty sixth within the area in SG: Par 5’s.

Although Varner III has sturdy strategy numbers (4th within the area) and avoids three-putts (third within the area), there are regarding indicators elsewhere. He’s a hundred and twentieth within the area in fairways gained, a centesimal in placing between 5 and 10 ft and 96th in SG: Par 5’s.

At a course the place these three components are extraordinarily vital, count on Conners to notch the head-to-head win right here.


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Best Bet #3: Aaron Rai (-130) over Matthias Schwab

The greatest means I understand how to explain Rai: regular.

This is a participant that gained’t make a number of errors, an announcement additional evidenced by his underlying statistics. He’s sixth within the area in fairways gained, sixteenth in good drives gained and twenty first in alternatives gained. Additionally, he’s thirty fourth within the area in SG: strategy, thirty fifth in three-putt avoidance and twentieth within the area in SG: Par 5’s.

There are two areas of concern with Rai — his placing has confirmed shaky from birdie vary (113th in placing – 10 to fifteen ft) and is poor popping out of the sand (one hundred and fifth in sand saves). However, mix all these metrics collectively and Rai continues to be sixteenth general over his final 24 rounds on programs below 7,200 yards.

As for Schwab, he has the benefit over Rai in each SG: Par 4’s – 450 to 500 yards and in SG: Par 5’s, however has regarding metrics elsewhere. He’s 91st within the area in fairways gained, ninetieth in alternatives gained and fifty fifth in SG: strategy. Further, he struggles to keep away from three-putts (67th within the area) and isn’t an incredible putter both (forty third in placing – 5 to 10 ft, 86th in placing – 10 to fifteen ft).

For all these causes, I’m comfortable to put the juice with Rai, who has made the lower in 5 of his final six occasions. Schwab, alternatively, has both missed the lower or flirted with the lower line in three of his final 4 outings.

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