Following a two-week worldwide break, the English Premier League is ready to return this weekend.
And whereas there isn’t essentially a marquee match of notice – the spotlight of the weekend is Manchester United/Leicester City at Old Trafford – I imagine there’s nonetheless loads of worth available on the betting board.
So, earlier than the Final Four ideas off Saturday evening, think about these two Premier League bets as a way of constructing the bankroll.
Best Bet #1 – Leeds United/Southampton Over 3 Goals (+105)
Both these groups wish to get out in assault, stress the opposition and play typically high-event video games.
As a outcome, I’m anticipating objectives on this fixture. Since Jesse Marsch took excessive job at Leeds United, its assault has performed brilliantly. It has notched a minimum of two anticipated objectives in three of 4 matches, together with two straight occasions towards Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Goals ought to come fairly simply for the Peacocks, particularly contemplating how unhealthy Southampton’s protection has performed away from house. The Saints have conceded the third-most anticipated objectives away from house this season, forward of solely Leeds and cellar-dwellers Norwich City. In reality, supervisor Ralph Hassenhutl’s aspect has stored just one workforce underneath one anticipated purpose by way of 14 highway fixtures this season.
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Plus, Leeds may very well be in for some optimistic offensive regression quickly. This season, it has scored 34 objectives on 39.5 anticipated and a very good chunk of that discrepancy has come at house. At Elland Road, Leeds has scored 17 occasions on 22 anticipated objectives, per fbref.com.
All that stated, this Southampton assault has performed fairly nicely of late and may contribute to the whole Saturday. It has created a minimum of one anticipated purpose in 4 of its final 5 general and 4 of 5 away from house. Given it notched 2.3 xG within the reverse fixture towards Leeds, count on one other sturdy efficiency from the Saints.
Best Bet #2 – Manchester United/Leicester City Over 3 Goals (-115)
Much like Leeds United and Southampton, these groups don’t like taking part in a lot protection.
History backs that assertion up too as three straight conferences between these sides have featured a minimum of three objectives, together with a 4-2 Leicester City victory on the King Power Stadium that noticed the perimeters mix for 4.5 anticipated objectives.
The duality with this play thrilling me is that United’s assault has performed very nicely at house whereas Leicester has struggled to defend on the highway. The Red Devils have notched a minimum of one anticipated purpose in 5 straight at Old Trafford and a minimum of two anticipated objectives in three of the final 4, per fbref.com.
On the flip-side, Leicester has conceded the seventh-most highway anticipated objectives this season and has allowed a minimum of two xG in three straight highway fixtures towards Big Six opposition. Further, it hasn’t held a top-half opponent to fewer than two objectives away from house this season.
That stated, United’s protection has given alternatives to top-half EPL assaults currently. In its final 4 fixtures towards such sides, it has conceded a minimum of one anticipated purpose in all 4.
As a outcome, count on participation from each side in what I feel proves one other high-scoring affair.