UFC Fight Night predictions, picks, and parlay for tonight

Let’s take the co-main occasion out for a second, UFC 274 was superior. Everyone desires to complain in regards to the girls’s strawweight title struggle and that’s simply merely unfair. There have been loads of horrible fights previously that have been alleged to be nice (Ngannou-Lewis, Romero-Adesanya).

Last week we went 1-1-1 with the one win really being the parlay. Overall, the learn on the principle occasion, which will be learn right here, was near spot-on however Gaethje broke hearts to win in beneath 2.5 rounds at +320 (betting lined closed at +230).

On the evening, we profited for the third consecutive week and fourth in six tries. Total backers of my weekly picks, together with the parlay are up 17.4 items of revenue for the six UFC playing cards. Let’s hold the new UFC picks rollin’ for UFC Fight Night tonight!

All odds have been correct on the time of writing…

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UFC Fight Night picks and predictions

Blachowicz (+165) vs. Rakic (-195)

Former Heavyweight champion, Jan Blachowicz returns to the octagon on Saturday in opposition to Alexsandar Rakic. This is a tricky one to name as Rakic is undoubtedly the extra expert striker however, at instances, lacks the killer intuition to get a fighter out of there.

Rakic’s final two fights aren’t precisely making me run to my sports activities betting app to guess on him.

However, his takedown protection is robust sufficient that Blachowicz is unlikely to point out off an edge grappling. Overall, this struggle might develop into a semi-chess match between the 2 strikers the place Rakic fastidiously maneuvers his approach across the cage. There is a few worth on Blachowicz to win by choice at +460 however with none grappling edge suppose he will get out-pointed whereas standing.

Rakic in all probability wins this struggle by a call which is +235 on FactorsBet Sportsbook. If you’re leary of his inactivity being a detriment to his recreation, you would choose to take ‘fight goes the distance’ at +115, which is the place I’m at on this one.

UFC Fight Night picks tonight: Fight goes to choice +115 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Jan Blachowicz wins
Jan Blachowicz beats Israel Adesanya by choice at UFC 259
Zuffa LLC

Andre Petroski (+310) vs. Nick Maxmiov (-435)

Lowkey one among my favorites on the cardboard is Andre Petroski vs. Nick Maximov. Two extraordinarily expert chain wrestlers going through off. Maximov is from the Nick Diaz Academy and seems to be the subsequent massive factor coming from that struggle camp.

Petroski trains with Sean Brady and Paul Felder in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and is a really expert 7-1 fighter.

Both fighters have fairly shot fuel tanks so a late end may be very reside. Maximov regarded dominant as a slight underdog in his final struggle in opposition to Punahele Soriano, a robust striker.

However, Soriano by no means obtained going with the putting as a result of he feared Maximov’s grappling. It’s the identical motive that Khabib was by no means knocked out in his career, the grappling is so dominant that putting isn’t as a lot of a weak point.

The fascinating factor about this struggle to me is that Petroski is an especially aggressive grappler. He even beat JuCo National Champion wrestler, Phil Hawes, in a straight-up grappling match at Fury Pro Grappling 3 on New Year’s Eve.

At the time of writing, Petroski is a +300 underdog which is nonsense. Maximov was an underdog in opposition to Soriano and was an incredible guess there. In this struggle, the overcorrection is simply too massive. Petroski may be very reside for a KO or TKO, he shouldn’t be as frightened of Maximov’s chain wrestling as his earlier opponents have been.

UFC Fight Night picks tonight: Andre Petroski ML +310 | by KO/TKO +1600 (DraftKings)

UFC Fight Night parlay (+787): Ribas (+144) + Rakic/Blachowicz struggle begins spherical 3 (-210) + Hill/Jandiroba GTD (-220) + Michael Johnson ML (-144)

Hitting the parlay final week was a pleasant comfort prize after Justin Gaethje ripped everybody’s hearts out with two first-round knockdowns and then obtained submitted moments later. In 5 tries, the parlay is 2-3, for +8 items of revenue. A number of notes…

This guess was positioned on FanDuel Sportsbook who’s once more providing all of its customers UFC parlay insurance coverage for bets up $25, opt-in on the promos web page.

  • Chookagian as a -200 favourite? Pass. Ribas is a stable striker and a approach higher grappler. Ribas all-day lengthy as an underdog, she’s a legit prospect.
  • Jandiroba in all probability wins this by choice because of her grappling. Could choose to have Jandiroba by choice (+150) because the leg right here too. However, Hill’s sturdiness scares me. Taking the safer play for the parlay.
  • Michael Johnson is the unluckiest fighter on the roster. He faces off in opposition to Alan Patrick who he ought to have a big edge on in putting and defend his takedowns.

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